Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Can't let it go

I know what I'm up against on the flop.

PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from

UTG+1 ($9.85)
MP1 ($11.05)
MP2 ($8)
Hero (MP3) ($12.70)
CO ($8.30)
Button ($8.40)
SB ($9.70)
BB ($0.75)
UTG ($7.85)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 8, Q, 9, A

1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.10, 1 fold, Button calls $0.10, SB calls $0.05, BB checks

Flop: ($0.50) J, Q, 6 (5 players)

SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, Button raises to $1.70, 3 folds, Hero calls $1.40

Turn: ($4.20) 5 (2 players)

Hero checks, Button bets $4, Hero calls $4

River: ($12.20) 9 (2 players)

Hero checks, Button checks

Total pot: $12.20 | Rake: $0.60


Button had K, J, J, 9 (three of a kind, Jacks).

Hero had 8, Q, 9, A (two pair, Queens and nines).

Outcome: Button won $11.60

I'm a 2:1 dog on the flop, and a 3:1 dog on the turn, which I find rather surprising. I knew I was up against a set, yet I had seven diamonds, three sevens and three tens as outs. 13 outs should be enough to call, right? The answer is no, 13 outs aren't nearly enough. The only nut draw I had was to the flush, and if I hit it, I'm not getting paid enough even if he does call with his remaining stack. The sevens were good as a gut shot but the double gut if the ten hit is not to the nuts with the JQ on the flop. It's a clear fold on the turn.


Anonymous said...

You might benefit from posting more hands in twoplustwo
if they give good responses to one out of ten you are ahead

You might benefit from Rolf Slotboom's book.

It gives a view of Dutch Poker rooms and teaches the value of tightwad PLO.

And the fortune cookie aphorism of the day: One card poker in holdem leaves you busto. In PLO two card poker does. Special of the day: Chicken Lo Mein.

bastinptc said...

Does that have the crunchy noodles on top?

I'll check out the book. Thanks.